- Home
- Price modeling
- Pricing Electricity Forwards under Stochastic Volatility
Pricing Electricity Forwards under Stochastic Volatility
- By Philipp Kellerhals
- Published 10/22/2007
- Price modeling
- Unrated
Based on the peculiarities of electricity as underlying commodity of forward contracts we develop a time-continuous pricing model for short-term electricity forwards. The suggested stochastic volatility model utilizes the non-tradeable spot prices of electricity and its variance rate as state variables. This enables us to capture the non-linearities, and the high and time varying volatility seen in electricity prices. Using maximum likelihood estimation based on Kalman filtering we report empirical results on electricity data from the Californian market.
