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- Modeling price and volatility inter- relationships in the Australian wholesale spot electricity markets
Modeling price and volatility inter- relationships in the Australian wholesale spot electricity markets
- By Helen Higgs
- Published 08/7/2009
- Price modeling
- Unrated
correlation multivariate GARCH models. Tse and Tsui's (Tse, Y.K., Tsui, A.K.C., 2002. A multivariate generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying correlations. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 20 (3), 351–362.) dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model which takes
account of the Student t specification produces the best results. At the univariate GARCH(1,1) level, the mean equations indicate the presence of positive own mean spillovers in all fourmarkets and little evidence of mean spillovers from the other lagged markets. In the dynamic conditional correlation equation, the highest
conditional correlations are evident between the well-connected markets indicating the presence of strong interdependence between these markets with weaker interdependence between the not so wellinterconnected markets.

