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				<title><![CDATA[&quot;Serving the energy market&quot; - Articles - ]]></title>
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					  <title><![CDATA[Pricing Electricity Forwards under Stochastic Volatility]]></title>
					  <link>http://www.erasmusenergy.com/articles/85/1/Pricing-Electricity-Forwards-under-Stochastic-Volatility/Page1.html</link>
					  <description><![CDATA[Keywords: Electricity Forwards, stochastic volatility, time-continuous model, equilibrium pricing, Kalman filtering.<br/>Published in: <br/>Publication year: 2001<br/><br/>Based on the peculiarities of electricity as underlying commodity of forward contracts we develop a time-continuous pricing model for short-term electricity forwards. The suggested stochastic volatility model utilizes the non-tradeable spot prices of electricity and its variance rate as state variables. This enables us to capture the non-linearities, and the high and time varying volatility seen in electricity prices. Using maximum likelihood estimation based on Kalman filtering we report empirical results on electricity data from the Californian market.]]></description>
					  <author>no@spam.com (Philipp Kellerhals)</author>
					  <pubDate>Mon, 22 Oct 2007 13:15:40 CEST</pubDate>
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